![]() ![]() “These athletes often struggle to break down mental barriers to let themselves physically push their bodies to the limits during fitness tests or hard training sessions, making it hard to predict what they ’re truly capable of,” she said.Īs a general rule of thumb, Dietzel expects that most age-group athletes can hold a zone 2 heart rate or effort for an Ironman, zone 3 for a 70.3, zone 4 for an Olympic, and high zone 4 to zone 5 for a sprint. On the other hand, middle-of-the-pack age-groupers or beginners might not be accustomed to the intensity that comes with racing and may not really have similar efforts or results to compare. They also have previous performances that can be analyzed to create more accurate estimates. Olivia Dietzel, owner of LivFit Coaching, explains that finishing times for pros or elite age-group athletes will be much more predictable, because these athletes regularly push themselves during testing and in hard training sessions. This might consist of purposeful long rides and runs at goal pace or key interval sessions for shorter races.Īnother factor to consider is your level of triathlon experience. Instead, it ’s best to base estimates on training sessions or workouts that target race-specific intensity. “You should be able to point to training sessions or other races as evidence to support your estimates otherwise, you ’re just guessing,” said Russell Cox, a triathlon coach and data expert, who has crunched the numbers on thousands of age-group finishes. ![]() The first thing to keep in mind is that your times will differ from regular training and a triathlon estimate shouldn ’t be based on your best race times for each stand-alone sport. Even if you pick a reasonable average from your single sport workouts to base your estimation upon, you likely weren ’t doing all three events back-to-back, which can lead to fatigue and slower overall times. Plus, many athletes make the mistake of basing their estimate on best times or PRs achieved during training, which results in a predicted finisher ’s time that might be an unlikely best-case scenario. Total distance is another factor that not only affects speed, but also the extra time that must be added for transitions. ![]() Weather conditions and terrain play a big part in pacing on race day. However, there are many variables that make this challenging. If you know how fast you swim, bike, and run, it stands to reason that you could estimate how long it might take you to finish the race. So you’re wondering, based on all your workouts, how long will the race take you? How can you estimate your triathlon finish time? Maybe you want to give your spectator squad an idea about where and when they can cheer you on. Maybe you’ve done one before, but want to try a new distance. If New York during winter is your plan, prepare for cold weather and a chance of snow or rain.Heading out the door? Read this article on the new Outside+ app available now on iOS devices for members!Ĭongratulations! You ’ve signed up for a triathlon. If you will be running in Florida during the summer, expect there to be hot temperatures and humidity. Weather: Even though you can't predict the weather for certain day months in advance, you can gauge the general temperature and precipitation based on the season.Following a structured training plan is a good way to help you achieve your goal time. Training: The amount of time you spend training and how hard you train directly impacts your finish time.As you train for and run additional marathons, you can work toward beating your personal record (PR). Experience: If this is your first marathon, you should expect to take longer than more advanced runners.Keep the landscape in mind when training so you can prepare effectively. Course: Whether the terrain is flat or hilly can impact your run time.Runners older than 70 tend to finish slower at 5:40:00 while people younger than 30 and between ages 50 and 60 finish around 4:33:00. Age: Runners between 30 and 50 years old typically have the best marathon times, averaging 4:24:00.
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